Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 17.086156 19.345508 21.738595 24.456622 27.452395 30.647790 34.308097
2024-12-29 14.111463 17.263989 20.814941 25.089352 30.072171 35.673946 42.423390
2025-01-05 11.533182 15.171192 19.508723 25.011621 31.752675 39.684491 49.661292
2025-01-12 9.130244 12.898791 17.647124 23.980006 32.105095 42.072947 55.106037
2025-01-19 7.266808 11.006769 15.976698 22.925681 32.231965 44.091783 60.147867
2025-01-26 6.485111 10.430440 15.916413 23.896081 34.966662 49.517103 69.772534
2025-02-02 6.169394 10.453255 16.646468 25.961109 39.270108 57.213451 82.766706
2025-02-09 5.642807 10.077917 16.744627 27.107850 42.346573 63.402172 94.046649
2025-02-16 4.955972 9.349233 16.223310 27.272885 43.995545 67.671103 102.873200
2025-02-23 4.236822 8.458738 15.341914 26.787004 44.613225 70.465462 109.716831
2025-03-02 3.665972 7.732983 14.630568 26.473181 45.421254 73.519427 117.008851
2025-03-09 3.271852 7.261883 14.277925 26.677972 47.000534 77.737400 126.121687
2025-03-16 2.838906 6.666785 13.670075 26.442314 47.921178 81.095035 134.254730
2025-03-23 2.670874 6.564979 13.919276 27.668843 51.262435 88.300521 148.474379
2025-03-30 2.391874 6.193197 13.634422 27.937715 53.035491 93.145625 159.296219
2025-04-06 2.010028 5.535981 12.734862 27.024104 52.747075 94.700342 165.073603
2025-04-13 1.673189 4.914159 11.823746 25.992771 52.161928 95.713230 169.998819
2025-04-20 1.589234 4.872024 12.073454 27.158002 55.483610 103.238099 185.566353
2025-04-27 1.615266 5.104281 12.913085 29.513762 61.046089 114.683252 207.832537
2025-05-04 1.546719 5.085448 13.214456 30.828818 64.782380 123.199471 225.598624
2025-05-11 1.397631 4.829655 12.972868 31.037599 66.491116 128.339005 237.980363
2025-05-18 1.214389 4.444381 12.396604 30.511960 66.787714 131.051575 246.405053
2025-05-25 1.065830 4.125604 11.932202 30.171930 67.398990 134.309083 255.820796